Scouting Baylor. BYU on the road

Football
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BYU’s first road game in Big 12 play

1 The OT loss to CU when Baylor clearly had the game won (Shedeur Saunders throw with 2 seconds left in the game), Baylor was 99.7% favored to win…had to kill Baylor’s mo. Coach Aranda is firmly in the hot seat. A cornered bear is an dangerous bear.

2 Baylor is a very balanced team, moves the ball great, good D so why are they losing?
2024 Football Cumulative Statistics - Baylor (baylorbears.com)
1 stat…They are only 4-12 in the Red Zone, that’s it!

2 one game can change your season. BYU wins big at home, visions of grandeur, ranked…Bayler finds a way to lose on the road, rough week ahead, soul searching, wounded, season slipping. Before the KSU game, BYU was 40% to win, after, BYU is 53% chance to win.

3 BYU still has a glaring stat…we can’t convert 3rd downs, well at least until last night’s second half and Moa shows up. But this problem is not going away and it’s roots are in our play calling. BYU ends up 3rd and long…like 8 yds long…over and over. Has everything to do with ARod and his stupid play calling. And until BYU figures out how to get solid yds on 1st downs, we are going to have to depend on our Dfense to keep us in games. So don’t get too excited about the BIG WIN, we exploited a young QB in a late game with 64,000 insane fans, that all goes away in Waco Tx.

4 Baylor has a veteran QB, and zero interceptions on the year. Robertson had a so so passing game, 148 but he extended drives with his legs (82 yds) and should of beat CU . They have a OK rushing attack but nothing like KSU’s elite running. Baylor can beat BYU at home (only a tiny advantage Baylor

5 BYU’s D is top 2 in the Big 12 today. We have some real stars emerging. Kelly is everything they said pre season. LBers are sound, big and fast. Our DBs are not allowing much in the air. and our Safeties don’t let anything pass them. Big advantage BYU

6 We all saw Retzaiff play a near perfect game vs. KSU…now how in the world can I say that??
Retzaiff did not cough up the ball, he ate it on sacks where in the past he tried to hard and got intercepted, big big change. completing 71% vs. KSU when KSU had BYU in virtually a one dimentional game (our rushing 1st haft did not exist). The dude is growing up before us. BYU has star power in our receiving core. Lassiter and Roberts. followed by some really good TEs makes us dangerous. Add Moa’s unstoppable running, I think BYU can sustain drives in the fulture. That right there is a season changer. advantage BYU.

7 Special teams are special…Not only is BYU having 100 yds run backs and scoop TDs, Baylor their version of a 100 yarder and a big 54 punt return. wash

in tight games, all road games for BYU are considered tight, turnovers are the difference (Just ask KSU). BYU is headed in the right direction. Control the ball, win the game

Close game,
You guys predict the scores. I won’t jinx it

1 Like
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Digging into Baylor’s new look offense (247sports.com)
A great summery of who Baylor is:

Baylor QB transfer Finn was the starting QB until he got banged up in the Utah game. Utah held him to 42% 9-21 and 115 yds passing.

QB Robertson took over in the Airforce game, played mistake free so he got the nod for the CU game.

While I think Robertson will be the starter, BYU has to prep for Finn.

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If Finn starts: JK spies and shuts down the QB scramble, just like against K State.
If Robertson starts: JK on the slightly delayed blitz or stunting with DE, creating havoc and ruining Robertson’s afternoon.

Baylor is not great. I still don’t trust ARod and we pay for it by not sustaining drives and losing TOP, but like you say if he can figure out the play calling we can score on Baylor.

I BELIEVE in our D now every game until convinced otherwise. Still a small sample size (2 real opponents), but the SMU and K State games were just night and day compared to the past.

Coaching point: Jay Hill, in addition to being the DC, coaches the safeties. Lots of teams have safeties who are good at not getting beat deep, and others have safeties who are big hitters. But BYU’s safeties HAVE NOT been beaten deep, yet read run so fast that they come flying downhill to repeatedly make plays in the run game. But to have safeties who excel at both, it takes high level pre-game coaching and player concentration, and split second in-game play calling and seamless execution by all the DBs. I’m AMAZED at the quality of the coaching to be able to get both skill sets at an elite level from the safeties. Long Live Jay Hill.

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SMU had gone 8 years without being blanked in the TD column…KSU had gone 4 years. WOWZA!

AMen…got to give it up for Gilford as well. Our DBs the best…but to your point. I watched that KSU game and even the TV game callers marveled at our Safeties. 3 times they stopped break away TD runs in the game.

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BYU Opens as Slight Road Underdog at Baylor - Vanquish The Foe

These guys can’t even get their facts straight

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BYU coaches say defense still has a long way to go in Big 12 – Deseret News
As I said, BYU is the underdog at Waco. coach Poppinga points out that the lobsided win hid some of the defense’s mistakes. Film exposed the problems so that they could address them. Love how they want to stay hungry and improve.

Now, How do we get AROD in that room with guys that know what they are doin?

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Not worried about Baylor’s rushing yds…I am more interested in BYU’s rushing yds in Waco!

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I read somewhere that Robertson has decided to red shirt and they’re going with their previous quarterback for the BYU game

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good call!
BYU’s D has been so good, we started the Baylor game with just 3 TDs scored on us in 4 games. Baylor got 4. We limited Baylor to just 64 yds rushing, Robertson had 1/2 of that. They averaged 3.8 ypc for the season, got 2.3 vs. BYU. Not many teams going to win when they are one dimensional.

BYU has one weakness: rushing (keeping our studs healthy), a bye week will do wonders
bonus stat: Zona averages 5.9 rushing, they hung 6.5 on Utah (who’s signature is stopping the run)