Let’s start with where GU is at:
They have struggled on the road. Yes, they beat San Fran and Santa Clara on the road but GU was behind most of the game. I get that elite talent can turn it on and put games away. But what if the opposing team gets hot and sinks 3s, Gonzaga is playing with fire. Coach Few knows it. SMC can beat them at home, maybe others.
Timme is the MVP of college basketball. he has more moves than Mic Jagger.
BYU basketball: How can BYU compete with No. 8 Gonzaga’s Drew Timme? - Deseret News
GU also has 3 guys that shoot 42% or better from 3land. Say a team commits 2 defenders to slow down Timme, he kicks out and those guys kill you. And they have a super athlete, Watson-6’8. Who’s going to guard that dude.
Really the only saving grace when playing Gonzaga, is that they don’t have an NBA point guard this year.
Where BYU is at:
BYU is defending at a top 30 rate over the past 10 games, we have not seen that in 30 years. We defend the 3 even better. But:
The problem with BYU is…We have no NBA talent, no athletes that can take over a game so BYU has to rely on picks to get an open look or drive inside and get the ball to a very efficient Foos.
Pope does an amazing job at generating points from role players but our biggest challenge by a million miles is scoring enough to win ball games. Secondly, I watched LMU just bully our smaller guards into 3 point plays. BYU just was too small. We are starting a 6’6 Foos at center and if he gets into foul trouble, a very foul prone Atiki is the back up.
How Gonzaga will attack BYU. Timme, Timme, Timme, get Foos into foul trouble and foul out Atiki in about 5 possessions. BYU will of course, double Timme, at which he will kick the ball out to a 42% or better guard, who strokes in a 3.
How BYU will defend GU. Double Timme and hope their guys miss open 3s. On offense, if BYU gets hot from 3, we have a very good chance. If not, no chance.
77-73 BYU.