BYU has been killed in TOP the last 4 games. And it’s not because of our incredibly fast TD drives. It’s because 1) we intentionally concede yardage because we are too risk averse, and 2) we are TERRIBLE on 3rd down (for the same reason as #1). BYU is 91st in the NCAA in 3rd down defense, allowing a staggering 42% conversion rate. Baylor is 20th. That means Baylor stops teams on 3rd down, and BYU doesn’t.
We all know Sitake doesn’t care about TOP–and don’t tell me he does, or he would have made at least SOME defensive adjustments in the last month. He affirmatively schemes to concede time and yardage, hoping the other team screws up. So if BYU falls behind–to anyone–by 2 or more scores, it will be very VERY difficult to come back.
Baylor splits carries with two RBs who have combined for 1000 yards with both around 7ypc Ouch.
QB Bohanon completes 67% of his passes with 11TD and ZERO YES ZERO Ints. Smart and accurate, just like Bachmeier at BSU (still laughing that the former staff thought that clown who transferred to Utah was better than Bohannon).
Like BYU, Baylor spreads the ball around and has several excellent WR.
The Baylor OL has allowed a total of 6 sacks in 6 games.
This is a disciplined, talented offense. Slot receiver Estrada was hurt early but in the last two games has 10 catches for 180, and is the kind of guy who can feast under the soft zone.
It drives me bonkers–and frankly just isn’t fun to watch–but I just feel like Sitake is in “ride or die” mode, all-in with Tuiaki’s scheme. Like BSU, I think Baylor’s offense will have lots of space to run or pass underneath, and will be too good and too smart to screw up enough for BYU to win.
Baylor 31-BYU 20